金价跌破4800美元,霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势升级

周一,由于对霍尔木兹海峡局势的担忧重燃,油价上涨,通胀担忧再次升温,市场对近期降息的预期减弱,黄金价格跌破每盎司4800美元。据CNBC市场报道,现货黄金在亚洲早盘交易中下跌0.4%,至每盎司4809美元,此前一度跌至4月13日以来的最低点。

XAUUSD_2026-04-20_11-12-14

黄金-5日走势图

市场概览

此前,受中东冲突相关的避险需求支撑,黄金价格上周走低。但到了周一的亚洲交易时段,随着交易员对霍尔木兹海峡再次成为冲突焦点的消息做出反应,油价上涨,通胀预期再次成为关注焦点,避险需求也随之消退。

6月交割的美国黄金期货下跌1%,至每盎司4829.40美元,凸显了金价整体走软的趋势。

事件详情

黄金近期承压源于霍尔木兹海峡与能源流动之间的直接市场联系。FXStreet指出,海峡紧张局势导致金价跌破4800美元,而另一份市场报告则称,油价上涨令央行宽松政策前景蒙上阴影,从而对金价构成压力。

这种动态至关重要,因为当交易员预期利率将长期维持在高位时,黄金的吸引力往往会下降。油价上涨会加剧通胀担忧,进而可能推迟宽松政策的实施,并支撑实际收益率,这对无收益的黄金而言无疑是不利的背景。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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