黄金价格有望以强势结束今年行情

黄金价格有望以10月份创下的历史高点再次创下新高,来结束这辉煌的一年。

XAUUSD - Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

黄金价格目前徘徊在每盎司4,243美元至4,380美元的区间中位。市场可能在年底前测试其中一个水平,而2026年可能取决于哪个水平会出现突破。

黄金显示出一些抛售压力,因投资者在美国关键数据出炉前了结获利。这些数据将影响对美联储明年加息的预期。本周公布的就业数据可能会推动黄金价格在新的一年重回看涨趋势。

美国将公布10月和11月的综合就业报告,但由于缺乏在美国政府史上最长停摆期间收集的数据,一些关键细节将会缺失。

美国11月非农就业人数料增加5万人,10月料减少。上个月的失业率估计为4.4%。美联储官员一直在暗示未来一年将进一步降息,如果数据支持这一理论,将提振金价。

芝加哥联邦储备银行行长古尔斯比预计的2026年的降息幅度超过其他官员的预估。他表示,他上周反对12月降息,因为他希望等待更多通胀数据。

本周公布的一系列美国经济数据可能决定黄金新年开局的方式,1月投资组合经理可能会有新的资金流入黄金。

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