黄金价格继续不停歇上涨

黄金价格继续强劲上涨,测试了3700美元的水平。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

黄金的真正支撑位目前位于3,431美元,较小的支撑位为3,525美元。

世界黄金协会的数据显示,全球黄金交易所交易基金(ETF) 8月连续第三个月出现资金流入,再次受到西方基金的推动。管理的资产规模再创月末新高。

全球实物支持的黄金ETF在8月份吸引了55亿美元的资金,实现了连续三个月的上涨。北美和欧洲的基金是全球买家的主力,而亚洲和其它地区则出现了少量资金外流。今年迄今的资金流入量已达到470亿美元,创下了继2020年峰值之后的历史第二高水平。

世界黄金协会指出,在推动金价上涨的一些国家中,英国、瑞士和德国是主要买家。这些国家的经济压力迫使投资者纷纷转向安全港。美国对瑞士也征收了39%的关税,这给该国的黄金加工业务带来了担忧。

高盛分析师表示,如果美联储政策的不确定性和强劲需求持续下去,到2026年金价可能触及5000美元。这将是35%左右的进一步增长。摩根大通预计,到2026年第二季度,金价将达到4000美元,而瑞银预计,到2026年,金价将达到3700美元。

投机流动的因素现在在黄金中大量存在,尽管趋势仍然强劲,但交易者应该警惕负面新闻带来的回调压力。

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