差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

黄金周线图显示走强迹象

过去三周黄金光泽有所减弱,但可能只是让部分投资者止步。

XAUUSD – Weekly Chart

现货黄金–周线图

现货黄金周线图显示,在跌至4400美元后强劲收盘。这可能预示着投机性抛售结束,黄金价格可能从当前位置继续走高。

尽管短期波动,但预计未来几个月黄金价格将保持支撑。根据Geojit Investments最新发布的黄金报告,在经历了剧烈波动抹去了1月份近一半的涨幅后,黄金价格已稳定在每盎司 5000美元这一重要的心理关口上方。

1月份,伦敦现货金价一度触及每盎司5594美元的历史新高,随后市场崩盘。此次回调的驱动因素是美国降息预期降低以及地缘政治紧张局势缓和。

黄金前景的关键驱动因素是强劲的投资需求。近期报告显示,2025年全球黄金总需求量将首次突破5000吨,推动其市场总值达到5550亿美元。

全球黄金交易所交易基金(ETF)的持仓量增加了800吨,创下历史第二高的年度增幅。金条和金币的需求同样强劲,实物黄金避险需求创下12年来的新高。

新年伊始,黄金ETF市场也表现强劲,1月份资金流入量达到190亿美元,创历史新高。这使得全球黄金ETF的管理资产规模达到创纪录的6690亿美元。全球黄金总持仓量也突破4000吨,达到历史新高,表明投资者对黄金作为避险资产的信心十足。

尽管投资者对黄金市场感到困惑,但这或许只是投机交易者的一次洗牌。地缘政治和黄金购买的潜在趋势依然存在。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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