德国股市走高,但MACD指标分化隐现

德国股市 (GER30)继续强劲回升,并创下新高。然而,MACD指标的一些放缓势头伴随着警告。

GER 30 – Daily Chart
GER30指数-日线图

在4月份暴跌至19000之后,目前GER30指数的价格为24040。屡创新高的同时,MACD指标也在下降,这将引起谨慎。

尽管德国经济疲软,但股市继续走强。

德国央行表示,最近的数据显示,德国工资增长明显放缓,经济疲软表明,未来的奖金可能会比过去低得多。

根据央行的报告,第一季度谈判后的工资仅同比增长0.9%,而2024年底的增幅为5.8%。

德国政府经济顾问小组周三表示,由于唐纳德·特朗普的关税和贸易威胁,德国经济预计今年将停滞不前。

德国是欧洲最大的经济体,但已经有五年没有出现明显的经济增长,过去两年的国内生产总值每年都在萎缩。自本月早些时候新总理梅尔茨上任以来,该委员会首次做出预测,预计德国经济将在2026年增长1%之前陷入停滞。去年11月的预测显示,今年的经济增长率为0.4%。

新的前景与德国前政府一个月前做出的预测相似。梅尔茨于5月6日上任,他宣布了削减官僚主义、推进数字化、为公司提供税收减免和促进更多自由贸易协定的计划。

“特朗普的关税政策正在增加不确定性,危及全球经济增长,”该小组负责人莫妮卡表示。但她补充称,梅尔茨领导的联合政府提出的一项巨额投资计划“为德国基础设施现代化和回归更高的增长道路提供了机会”。

交易商仍可在GER30指数中找到一些低盘买盘动能,但应警惕新闻头条可能引发的人气变化。

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