市场对英国政治担忧升温,英镑兑美元大跌

由于市场对英国政策的走向感到担忧,英镑兑美元汇率跌至2024年低点。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日图

英镑兑美元的价格已经开始测试2024年的支撑位,现在这是该货币对的关键支撑位。

英国财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯被敦促取消中国之行,在英镑下跌和政府借贷成本上升之际,她急于安抚市场。英镑兑美元周四跌至一年多来最低水平,因投资者增加英国金边债券的风险溢价。金边债券是英国政府用来为借款融资的债券,价格上涨给政府的计划带来了压力。

经济学家现在警告说,该国的增长停滞和顽固的通货膨胀将使财政大臣很难在不进一步削减开支或增加税收的情况下平衡账目。

许多人现在都在谈论前财政大臣利兹·特拉斯在2022年灾难性的迷你预算,该预算导致借款利率飙升,并使她失去了这一职位。

现任财政大臣没有出现在下议院,而是派她的副手回答问题,他试图用地缘政治和数据方面的担忧来解释市场恐慌。

他说:“金融市场的走势,包括代表政府借贷成本的政府债券或金边债券收益率的变化,是由一系列国际和国内因素决定的。”

但市场正在惩罚英镑,因为利率将不得不下调以刺激经济增长,而这在通胀仍在徘徊的情况下很难做到。由于即将上任的美国总统特朗普可能会对美国征收关税,因此存在一些地缘政治担忧,但现实情况是,10月份的预算增加了借贷以投资基础设施,并对企业进行了大规模的税收突袭,以资助支出。

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