差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

市场对英国政治担忧升温,英镑兑美元大跌

由于市场对英国政策的走向感到担忧,英镑兑美元汇率跌至2024年低点。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日图

英镑兑美元的价格已经开始测试2024年的支撑位,现在这是该货币对的关键支撑位。

英国财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯被敦促取消中国之行,在英镑下跌和政府借贷成本上升之际,她急于安抚市场。英镑兑美元周四跌至一年多来最低水平,因投资者增加英国金边债券的风险溢价。金边债券是英国政府用来为借款融资的债券,价格上涨给政府的计划带来了压力。

经济学家现在警告说,该国的增长停滞和顽固的通货膨胀将使财政大臣很难在不进一步削减开支或增加税收的情况下平衡账目。

许多人现在都在谈论前财政大臣利兹·特拉斯在2022年灾难性的迷你预算,该预算导致借款利率飙升,并使她失去了这一职位。

现任财政大臣没有出现在下议院,而是派她的副手回答问题,他试图用地缘政治和数据方面的担忧来解释市场恐慌。

他说:“金融市场的走势,包括代表政府借贷成本的政府债券或金边债券收益率的变化,是由一系列国际和国内因素决定的。”

但市场正在惩罚英镑,因为利率将不得不下调以刺激经济增长,而这在通胀仍在徘徊的情况下很难做到。由于即将上任的美国总统特朗普可能会对美国征收关税,因此存在一些地缘政治担忧,但现实情况是,10月份的预算增加了借贷以投资基础设施,并对企业进行了大规模的税收突袭,以资助支出。

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受就业数据提振,美联储加息预期升温,金价跌破4350美元

周二,由于美国就业数据强于预期,市场对美联储今年晚些时候加息的预期降低,交易员纷纷押注美联储将在今年晚些时候加息,金价因此跌破每盎司4350美元。 截至格林尼治标准时间03:02,现货黄金下跌0.4%至每盎司4313.11美元,延续了上周五的跌势。上周五,金价下跌约3%,创下3月24日以来的最低水平

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伊朗与以色列承诺停止攻击,市场在风险偏好改善中观望

要点 * 在美国总统特朗普呼吁伊朗和以色列立即停止开火后,双方周一表示已暂停互相攻击,昨日市场风险偏好情绪有所改善。 * 今日关注重点:今日经济日历整体相对清淡,地缘政治相关的消息很可能继续成为引发市场走势的关键驱动因素,同时市场为明日美国公布最新通胀报告做准备。可关注德国4月工业产出有望转为正增长

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非农意外强劲推升加息预期,本周继续寻求美通胀及地缘指引

要点 * 美国非农就业新增17.2万个就业岗位,大超市场预期,失业率则连续第三个月维持在4.3%,市场跟随提高了对美联储12月加息的预期至68.4%,美股和黄金上周五集体承压。 * 今日关注重点:进入6月第二周,全球金融市场的风险偏好将在多重数据和事件的考验下寻找方向。从美国5月CPI与PPI通胀数

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