英镑兑美元汇率面临预算公布的波动

英镑兑美元汇率将于周三聚焦关键的英国政府预算。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日线图

英镑兑美元已跃过支撑位1.3142,并可能在此寻求一个强劲的低点。

等待已久、给英镑蒙上阴影的英国政府预算终于到了公布的时候。

英国财政大臣雷切尔•里夫斯一年前表示:“我们再也不用像现在这样制定预算了。”她坚称,她在第一次尝试时就为公共财政带来了稳定。

当她在周三提交第二份年度预算时,预计她将宣布另一轮增税,这可能会扰乱债券市场。对于英国经济来说,这是一段艰难的时期,交易员们想看看英国如何在所有惩罚性税收措施的情况下实现增长。

11月初,里夫斯似乎在为提高个人所得税做准备,而她所在的政党在竞选时曾承诺不会这样做。这导致了投资者的困惑,因为不上调所得税会增加在收入不明的情况下多次小幅上调税收的可能性。

最近几周,英国政府债券金边债券的价格有所企稳。

“她建立了一些信誉。你看到金边债券收益率开始对此做出反应,然后基本上就失去了,”富兰克林邓普顿的David Zahn表示。该公司管理着1.5万亿美元的资产。

“这是一个G7经济体。我们不能再这样下去了,”安盛投资经理Nicolas Trindade表示。

如果政府不能让大型资产管理公司对未来的经济增长放心,他们可能会准备抛售英镑和英国股市。

9月份,英国基准10年期国债收益率仍触及27年高点。随着周三预算讲话的公布,这将成为市场青睐的指标。

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