英镑兑日元聚焦CPI数据来测试上升趋势

周三英国经济消费者价格数据是英镑兑日元汇率的焦点。

英镑兑日元-日图

英镑兑日元看起来正朝着较低水平进行测试,但能够反弹回到上升趋势。即将公布的数据可能考验交易员对英镑的兴趣。

英国消费者价格指数(CPI)将于香港时间周三下午3点公布。分析师预计月度数据将下降至0.1%,但年度数据将从3.3%上升至3.6%。

来自该国的消息显示,香烟和燃料价格似乎再次上涨。总体通货膨胀水平在10月份回到了英格兰银行2%的目标之上,主要是因为价格上限上升后家庭能源费用上涨。由于交易员预计英国央行将放慢降息步伐,通胀上升给英镑增添了动力。预计食品价格也将在节日前小幅上涨。

欧佩克+联盟正在考虑推迟明年的增产计划,原因是需求疲软,以及来自非盟国的竞争生产,这可能会使油价在2025年之前停滞不前

德意志银行高级经济学家Sanjay Raja警告称,由于营业税上调和最低工资上调,2025年初的“压力正在积聚”。

他说:“展望未来,我们将继续看到更多的上涨压力——特别是在服务业,因为雇主国民保险缴款(NICs)的上升、雇主NICs门槛的变化以及全国生活工资的提高都将在2025年初左右开始推高物价。”

日本经济最近以更快的速度增长,表明经济复苏更加强劲。截至9月份的三个月,国内生产总值折合成年率增长1.2%,高于分析师预期的0.9%。目前的焦点是日本央行何时加息。

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