欧元兑日元汇率聚焦日本央行立场,德国GDP指引

欧元兑日元汇率正在等待日本央行最新的新闻发布会评论和德国经济增长数据的发布。

EURJPY – Daily Chart

欧元兑日元-日线图

欧元兑日元在日线图上存在一些有趣的价位,阻力位在177.92。价格缺口在175存在支撑,这对上升趋势很重要。

在对关税引发的经济衰退的担忧有所缓解之后,日本央行一直在讨论是否适合再次加息。然而,政治变化可能会让该行暂时保持稳定。

最近的数据显示,几乎没有证据表明美国提高关税正在损害经济,9月份出口增加。商业信心在第三季度有所改善,企业坚持乐观的支出计划。

不过,多数分析师预计日本央行将在10月份的会议上将利率维持在0.5%不变,此前新任首相高市早苗提出了批评。高市早苗呼吁日本央行在实现工资增长通胀方面进行合作。

日本央行总裁植田和男在本月早些时候的一次讲话中警告称,经济前景面临风险,比如美国经济的不确定性。美中贸易谈判的背景对日本和整个亚洲地区也非常重要。

“由于政府停摆,美国经济数据尚未出炉,我认为下周的会议不会消除上田的担忧,”三菱UFJ首席债券策略师Naomi Muguruma表示。

她说:“很难相信高市政府的就职不会对日本央行的加息时机产生任何影响。”

最近总理的变动是利率保持不变的信号,但交易者将等待香港时间下午2:30的新闻发布会。交易员也将警惕特朗普和习之间的贸易会议带来的头条指引。

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