欧元兑英镑汇率有望在数据推动下反弹

欧元兑英镑汇率将于周四晚些时候迎来央行决议,其走势或将决定本周的汇率走向。

EURGBP Exchange Rate Looks to Mount a Recovery on Data

欧元兑英镑 – 日线图

欧元兑英镑已从0.86100附近的低点反弹,目前有两个短期支撑位。利好数据或将助力欧元反弹,但疲软数据则可能导致欧元进一步下跌。

欧洲经济将于周四香港时间下午5点公布零售销售数据。预计月度数据将从去年的0.2%降至-0.2%。英国央行将于晚上7点公布最新利率决议,届时将发布最新货币政策报告。

由于政策制定者面临着在抑制通胀和支持经济增长之间寻求平衡的难题,预计英国央行将维持利率在3.75%不变。英国货币政策委员会在圣诞节前将利率从4%下调至3.75%,这是今年的第四次降息。

英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利当时表示,英国“通胀已度过近期峰值并持续下降”,但他同时警告称,未来决策将“更加难以预测”。

贝利表示:“英国央行在去年12月下调了利率,并已明确表示希望逐步调整政策,因此在当前的经济环境下,连续降息几乎是不可想象的。”

欧洲央行将于周四香港时间晚上8点15分发布货币政策声明,随后于晚上8点45分举行新闻发布会。这些声明应该会在未来一周对欧元兑英镑的走势产生影响。

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