数据公布在即,欧元兑瑞郎汇率寻求低点

欧元兑瑞郎汇率聚焦周二数据的公布,该货币对在近期疲软后寻求反弹。

欧元瑞郎-日线图

欧元兑瑞郎汇率已经从0.925附近的低点反弹,这可能是自2024年低点以来的双底。需要推动测试0.9500的水平。

从2024年5月创下的高点开始,欧元一直在下跌。这使得价格跌至2023年底的低点,我们现在面临第二次支撑测试。最近对法国债券息差的担忧似乎在另一位总理任命后暂时消退。在经济困难时期,瑞士货币经常被用作避险货币,一些获利回吐或空头回补似乎也在发挥作用。

周二的数据聚焦香港时间下午15:30公布瑞士CPI数据,预计12月消费者价格指数将从11月的0.7%降至0.6%。如果这个数字下降,欧元兑瑞士法郎可能会走强。法国经济的类似数据预计将显示月度环比小幅增长,从1.7%升至1.9%。

欧洲经济消费者价格指数将公布,预计同比增长2.7%。这将与上个月相同,但任何欧洲物价比瑞士更顽固的迹象都可能表明欧元走强。欧洲的失业率也将同时公布。

德国将于香港时间周三下午3点公布零售销售数据,如果这个欧洲最大经济体的消费者能够反弹,这也可能给欧元增添一些动力。

欧洲央行行长拉加德上周在X上表示:“我们在2024年在降低通胀方面取得了重大进展,希望2025年我们能达到预期的目标,并在我们的战略中有所规划。”一些经济学家批评央行降息速度太慢,任何通胀下降都将增加再次降息的呼声。

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