欧元兑澳元汇率聚焦重要数据

欧元兑澳元汇率有重要的经济数据需要关注,包括欧洲通胀和澳大利亚GDP。

EURAUD – Daily Chart

欧元兑澳元-日线图

欧元兑澳元触及1.8100的阻力位,并回落至5月份开始的上行支撑线。如果该货币对跌破支撑位,可能会向1.7420移动。

香港时间周二下午5点将公布欧元区消费者价格指数初值。市场预期为2.2%,上个月的数据是2.3%。任何偏差都可能导致欧元交易员头寸的改变。

进入周三的交易时段,澳大利亚将于上午9:30发布GDP增长数据。第二季度数据预计将从之前的0.2%上升0.5%。

这一年度数据预计将从此前的1.3%上升至1.6%。数据走强可能会提振澳元,并表明澳大利亚正经受住美国关税的冲击。澳大利亚储备银行行长米歇尔·布洛克将于下午2点发表讲话,欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德将于下午3:30发表讲话。

澳大利亚联储已经三次下调利率,使其降至3.6%,但澳大利亚经济一直难以反弹。澳储行上月警告称,由于生产率增长疲软,澳大利亚经济增速不可能持续超过2%。

西太平洋银行高级经济学家帕特·布斯塔曼特预计,与2024年第二季度相比,2025年上半年6月季度GDP数据的增长速度将放缓。

“尽管经济复苏依然脆弱且难以令人信服,但就业市场状况将会松动,而不必要的懈怠将会累积,” Bustamante表示。

“从劳动密集型的公共需求到资本密集型的私人增长来源的再平衡,将加剧这些风险。”

分析人士担心,澳大利亚目前GDP增长的很大一部分是由政府支出推动的。预计到2026年3月,澳储行将再降息两次,欧元/澳元本周可能会根据预期的澳大利亚央行利率变动动态而变动。

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