批发通胀跳涨拖累道琼斯期货走势

美国道琼斯指数(US30)因PPI超预期上升,开盘前大跌200点。

US30 – 4小时图

US30指数在此前的市场峰值附近交易,这可能是市场可能见顶的警告信号。

对外国投资者来说,由30大工业股组成的基准道琼斯指数被视为最重要的股票。最新数据令投资者感到震惊,因为他们也对关税战略提出了质疑。

最新的生产者价格指数(PPI)数据显示,批发行业的通胀正在上升。

7月核心PPI年率为3.7%,远高于预期的2.9%和6月的2.6%。分析人士现在对关税战略提出质疑,他们也看到降息的可能性大幅下降。整体数据同比增长3.3%,高于预期的2.5%。

随着7月份生产商和制造商的成本急剧上升,有一种风险是,这些成本将开始渗透到美国消费者身上。

“生产者开始感受到通胀的热度,”FwdBonds的经济学家Chris Rupkey周四写道。“生产商将与关税相关的更高成本转嫁给对通胀感到厌倦的消费者,这只是时间问题。”

9月降息的市场概率从一天前的完全反映中下滑至90%。即将到来的特朗普和普京之间的会谈将是市场的重要时刻。和平协议可能会导致风险情绪的反弹,并结束持续三年的冲突。

川普告诉记者,如果普京在周五的会晤后不同意停止与乌克兰的冲突,俄罗斯将面临“非常严重的后果”。这可能对市场构成逆风风险。

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