澳元兑美元遭遇黑色星期五时刻

由于市场消化该国出口导向型经济受到的打击,澳元兑美元汇率在周五遭受了严重抛售。

AUDUSD - Daily Chart

澳元兑美元-日线图

澳元兑美元上周五从近0.64跌至0.5950,并跌破了2022年10月以来的前支撑位。

随着人们对澳大利亚出口导向型经济的担忧加剧,澳元兑美元自疫情以来首次跌破0.6的水平。

据CommSec的Ryan Felsman称,市场预计澳元股市周一将迎来又一个“残酷”的一天。投资者正准备迎接周一上午澳大利亚股市1150亿美元的暴跌。

费尔斯曼表示:“我们预计,随着ASX SPI期货下跌331点,即4.3%,市场将出现投降。”

“如果这真的成为现实,那将是自2020年5月1日疫情最严重以来最糟糕的一天。”

澳元通常被视为人民币更具流动性的代理交易,在中国宣布对美国商品征收额外关税后,澳元兑美元汇率跌至五年来的低点。

“这是一种更强硬的反应,他(鲍威尔)关注的是关税对通胀的影响。法国巴黎银行外汇经理Peter Vassallo表示:“美国经济一直在应对更高的通胀,而且由于美国是征收关税的国家,它将适用于所有进口商品,因此可能对美国产生更大的影响。”

“对通胀的担忧是真实存在的,考虑到五年来通胀一直高于目标,这是有道理的。”

在与美国领导层就关税问题进行一些谈判之前,澳大利亚经济的看跌情绪可能是交易者在短期内卖出反弹的好机会。

最近的新闻
由于鲍威尔中性基调削弱美元,欧元兑美元反弹

欧元兑美元周二攀升至1.16上方,受助于美联储主席鲍威尔的谨慎政策立场,以及法国政治紧张局势暂时缓和,此前法国政府暂停了备受争议的养老金改革。 鲍威尔在一个经济论坛上发表讲话,重申了“逐次会议”的利率决策方式,并表示劳动力市场的风险现在比通胀担忧更重要。虽然他指出,经济仍比预期强劲,但他承认就业方面的脆弱性日益增加,这增强了人们对进一步放松货币政策的预期。

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