澳元兑日元在GDP和就业数据公布前遭遇阻力

澳元兑日元汇率聚焦周四的经济数据。

AUDJPY – Daily Chart

澳元兑日元——日图

澳元兑日元的交易高于之前的收盘高点103.46,并试图以此作为支撑。这将是周四数据的关键水平。

日本经济第一季度GDP增长数据将于周四公布。市场预期经济表现疲弱,从0.4%降至-1.5%。这凸显了日本央行面临的两难境地,在短期内加息需要做很多工作。

加息可能会进一步损害经济,日本央行可能会继续专注于干预汇市,以遏制日圆的跌势。香港时间7时50分公布GDP数据。

下一个发布的是9:30的澳大利亚就业数据,预计将增加23.7万个就业岗位。这将是一个受欢迎的缓解,此前一个月失业人数为6.66万人,并突显出另一家央行面临降息压力。

然而,澳大利亚的失业率预计将从3.8%降至3.9%。

政府数据显示,澳大利亚的通货膨胀率将比预期提前一年回落到央行的目标范围内。这些统计数据是在财政部长吉姆·查尔默斯公布最新预算之前公布的。

然而,数据也显示,经济增速低于预期,全球和国内经济前景存在“相当大的不确定性”。

查尔默斯说,他的预算旨在降低通胀,而不是提高通胀,但也会“让人们的生活更容易一些”。

然而,批评者称这是“亿万富翁的预算”,因为所有家庭将获得300美元的能源账单减免,以缓解生活成本压力。拥有多处投资房产的公民,如果账单上有他们的名字,也可以申请多次退税。

随着澳元兑日元接近日本央行此前的干预区间,交易员将密切关注最新的GDP和就业数据。

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