差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美股近期走弱後可能出現看跌回調

標普500指數繼週一和週二表現疲軟後,週五進一步走弱,面臨熊市回檔的風險。

SP 500 – Daily Chart

標普500指數-日圖

標普500指數週五收在5000點下方,支撐位位於4800-4820點。

未來一週的大新聞將是人工智慧晶片領導者英偉達的財報。 對人工智慧潛力的興奮使英偉達的股價自今年年初以來上漲了46%以上。 該公司市值增加了5,700億美元,使英偉達成為華爾街第三大公司,僅次於蘋果和微軟。

其他人工智慧股票也緊隨其後,今年迄今,超級微型電腦上漲了182%,Arm Holdings上漲了近71%。

Truist Advisory首席市場策略師Keith Lerner表示:「當人們說今年市場表現良好時,他們實際上是指科技業表現良好,而英偉達是其中的核心。」「人們對人工智慧感到興奮,如果這種樂觀 情緒不能通過盈利來實現,那麼你可能會看到這種樂觀情緒很快就會產生影響,並影響市場情緒。”

英偉達將於2月21日發布財報。 分析師預估第二季每股盈馀為4.56美元,營收將從去年同期的60.5億美元增至203.78億美元。

傳奇投資者傑里米·格蘭瑟姆認為,人工智慧泡沫將會破裂。

“每個人都在訂購這些晶片來促進人工智慧。他們還不知道要用這些晶片做什麼。這就像在淘金熱中賣鏟子一樣。”

格蘭瑟姆指出,本益比處於歷史指標的高端,並表示可持續的牛市從未從那裡開始。

世界動盪也對股市反彈構成威脅,彭博社對數百家財報電話會議的分析指出,提及紅海或「地緣政治」的頻率增加。

美國銀行最新的基金經理人調查也顯示,投資人將地緣政治視為僅次於通膨的第二大股價風險,儘管這兩種風險是相互關聯的。 受訪者預計,紅海或中東地區的緊張局勢進一步升級,將對石油和運費帶來新的價格壓力。

美國股市在近期創下歷史新高後出現了一些拋售,投資者應保持謹慎。 世界上存在外部風險,但英偉達發布的疲軟收益可能會導致去年引領市場的股價大幅下跌。

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