差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美股在迎接零售銷售數據前面臨阻力壓力

最大 30 隻股票的華爾街指數可能會隨著最新的經濟數據而迎來突破。

US30: Weekly Chart

US30:週線圖

道瓊斯指數一直在測試 34,400 點的阻力位,長期未能突破該水平使可能的突破行情變得更加重要。

該指數將觸及 36,970 點的歷史高點,隨著賣空者被趕出市場,一些軋空行情可能成為最初的催化劑。

分析師預計美國零售額將繼上月增長 0.3% 後上漲 0.5%。

零售銷售是消費驅動型經濟中的一個重要指標,在新年促銷中, 1 月份帶來了 2.8% 的飆升,但在過去一年裡月度增幅都未能超過1%。其中包括五個月的負銷售,今年二月和三月均低於零。

分析師將關注美聯儲大幅加息後消費者是否仍有零售購買興趣。亞馬遜在 Prime Day 銷售暴利中仍然表現出色。數字低於過去兩年,但仍創造了美國一年中最大的零售銷售日。如果 6 月份的數據令人印象深刻,這可能會提振零售業的良好情緒。

最近的消費者 CPI 通脹數據一直在下降,隨著美聯儲結束加息的可能性增加,這可能會給消費者帶來心理上的提振。

交易員預計美聯儲今年還會加息兩次,但有信號表明緊縮已經結束。

上週喬·拜登還清償了價值 390 億美元的學生債務,這可能會進一步緩解消費者的壓力。摩根士丹利最近的一項調查顯示,消費者擔心學生債務重啟超出了他們今年的財務目標。

本周美國的經濟數據將在零售銷售數據後結束,之後只有建築許可數據。零售銷售的提振可能會帶動市場走高,同時華爾街銀行也將公佈進一步的財報。

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