差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國第四季度GDP數據即將出爐,對今年經濟走向有何指引?

近日,市場聚焦美國商務部公佈的一項重要經濟數據,即美國第四季度實際GDP年化季率初值,這項數據的前值為2.3%,預測值為5.8%。在疫情仍然持續和通脹高企的雙重壓力之下,市場擔憂今年美國經濟是否還會進一步放緩。

 

美聯儲結束萬眾矚目的2022年首場會議,依然維持強硬的鷹派立場,美聯儲公佈1月利率決議,聯邦公開市場委員會決定維持聯邦基金利率在0-0.25%不變,讓市場作好準備 3月結束資產購買並加息,同時也將繼續推進縮減資產負債表。

 

至於加息的時點,美聯儲主席鮑威爾在議息會議後的新聞發布會上指出,接下來每次會議都有加息的可能性,美聯儲會盡可能清晰地溝通。如果美聯儲過快加息可能導緻美國10年期國債收益率攀升,企業融資成本將上升,而股市、債市等資產價格可能會下跌,從而將對未來美國經濟前景產生下行壓力。

最新PCE物價指數和初請失業金人數將出爐

美國第四季度PCE物價指數和最新的初請失業金人數數據同樣值得關注。美國初請失業金人數已經經歷連續第三週上升,升至去年10月中旬以來最高水平,截止至今年1月15日當週,美國初請失業金人數錄得28.6萬人,遠超市場預期的22.5萬人,較前值23.0萬增加了5.6萬人。有分析認為,失業人口的上升可能是與疫情令確診人數激增導致雇主裁員有關。

 

失業人口意外上升的同時,美國零售銷售在持續下跌。去年 12 月美國零售銷售較 11 月大減1.9%,遠高於預期下降 0.1%,創下 10 個月來最大降幅,主要由於通脹持續攀升以及變種病毒打亂經濟復甦步伐。一些經濟學家也表達對美國經濟正在失去反彈動力的擔憂,但是似乎經濟的疲軟並不會改變美聯儲提早加息的決定。

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