差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由於槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 62.96% 的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。
62.96% 的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。
差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由於槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 62.96%的零售投資者帳戶在跟這個供應商交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險
75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
ATFX

英國金融行為監管局(FCA)牌照; 760555

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預視經濟樂觀 美元見短暫支持

美聯儲11月議息啟動「收水」計劃後,首份非農就業報告出爐好壞參半。最受注視的非農就業職位僅增21萬,遠低上月53.1萬。相信一方面是疫情反彈和新變種病毒Omicron肆虐有關,另一方面是跟美聯儲開展收水有關。另一焦點數據是美國11月失業率,驚喜報4.2%,較上月4.6%改善。原因可能跟美國政府陸續結束疫情失業援助金計劃,推動人民重返勞工市場。加上感恩節假期及傳統消費旺季,部分職位重啟,使人民可重投工作。美國就業報告公佈後,11月製造業服務業PMI及10月工廠訂單分別勝預期,預視12月份的經濟展望仍然樂觀,為美元帶來短暫支持,暫可守住96關邊緣。

料澳加央行利率不變

隨著美元過去一周的調整,走勢已跌至10天線96.3下。本周初期美國沒有重要數據公佈,估計美元有機會下探前星期低位95.52,為其他兌美元的主要貨幣帶來平穏或少許上升。

市場聚焦本周五美國公佈的11月CPI月率及年率結果,金融市場高度注視通脹是否繼續高企。市場預期11月CPI年率為6.7%,高於上月6.2%。若如預期或更高,或可能推前美聯儲局的收水和加息步伐,值得關注是該通脹數字,結果會為本月16日美聯儲議息作重要參考指引,金融市場將掀起波動。

周二及周三分別為澳洲聯儲銀行和加拿大央行議息,市場估計兩家央行維持利率不變,但對抗疫購債計劃會否作出調整將受到關注,若兩家央行決策者在會後言論展現偏向鷹派,或會帶來澳元和加元支持,但可否給予大幅反彈的機會仍要細聽政策內容。

澳元兌美元跌至10月份的低位。若突破0.6835,將試探0.6770,而阻力位為10天線0.7060。美元上升及油價下跌,美元兌加元沿10天線上升,若升勢持續發展,將可能上試1.2957或1.30水平。

Last Updated: 06/12/2021

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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