差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

预视经济乐观 美元见短暂支持

美联储11月议息启动“收水”计划后,首份非农就业报告出炉好坏参半。最受注视的非农就业职位仅增21万,远低上月53.1万。相信一方面是疫情反弹和新变种病毒Omicron肆虐有关,另一方面是跟美联储开展收水有关。另一焦点数据是美国11月失业率,惊喜报4.2%,较上月4.6%改善。原因可能跟美国政府陆续结束疫情失业援助金计划,推动人民重返劳工市场。加上感恩节假期及传统消费旺季,部分职位重启,使人民可重投工作。美国就业报告公布后,11月制造业服务业PMI及10月工厂订单分别胜预期,预视12月份的经济展望仍然乐观,为美元带来短暂支持,暂可守住96关边缘。

料澳加央行利率不变

随着美元过去一周的调整,走势已跌至10天线96.3下。本周初期美国没有重要数据公布,估计美元有机会下探前星期低位95.52,为其他兑美元的主要货币带来平穏或少许上升。

市场聚焦本周五美国公布的11月CPI月率及年率结果,金融市场高度注视通胀是否继续高企。市场预期11月CPI年率为6.7%,高于上月6.2%。若如预期或更高,或可能推前美联储局的收水和加息步伐,值得关注是该通胀数字,结果会为本月16日美联储议息作重要参考指引,金融市场将掀起波动。

周二及周三分别为澳洲联储银行和加拿大央行议息,市场估计两家央行维持利率不变,但对抗疫购债计划会否作出调整将受到关注,若两家央行决策者在会后言论展现偏向鹰派,或会带来澳元和加元支持,但可否给予大幅反弹的机会仍要细听政策内容。

澳元兑美元跌至10月份的低位。若突破0.6835,将试探0.6770,而阻力位为10天线0.7060。美元上升及油价下跌,美元兑加元沿10天线上升,若升势持续发展,将可能上试1.2957或1.30水平。

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