差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。
差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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预视经济乐观 美元见短暂支持

美联储11月议息启动“收水”计划后,首份非农就业报告出炉好坏参半。最受注视的非农就业职位仅增21万,远低上月53.1万。相信一方面是疫情反弹和新变种病毒Omicron肆虐有关,另一方面是跟美联储开展收水有关。另一焦点数据是美国11月失业率,惊喜报4.2%,较上月4.6%改善。原因可能跟美国政府陆续结束疫情失业援助金计划,推动人民重返劳工市场。加上感恩节假期及传统消费旺季,部分职位重启,使人民可重投工作。美国就业报告公布后,11月制造业服务业PMI及10月工厂订单分别胜预期,预视12月份的经济展望仍然乐观,为美元带来短暂支持,暂可守住96关边缘。

料澳加央行利率不变

随着美元过去一周的调整,走势已跌至10天线96.3下。本周初期美国没有重要数据公布,估计美元有机会下探前星期低位95.52,为其他兑美元的主要货币带来平穏或少许上升。

市场聚焦本周五美国公布的11月CPI月率及年率结果,金融市场高度注视通胀是否继续高企。市场预期11月CPI年率为6.7%,高于上月6.2%。若如预期或更高,或可能推前美联储局的收水和加息步伐,值得关注是该通胀数字,结果会为本月16日美联储议息作重要参考指引,金融市场将掀起波动。

周二及周三分别为澳洲联储银行和加拿大央行议息,市场估计两家央行维持利率不变,但对抗疫购债计划会否作出调整将受到关注,若两家央行决策者在会后言论展现偏向鹰派,或会带来澳元和加元支持,但可否给予大幅反弹的机会仍要细听政策内容。

澳元兑美元跌至10月份的低位。若突破0.6835,将试探0.6770,而阻力位为10天线0.7060。美元上升及油价下跌,美元兑加元沿10天线上升,若升势持续发展,将可能上试1.2957或1.30水平。

Last Updated: 06/12/2021

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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