差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

俄烏戰事升級 歐洲貨幣捱沽

烏克蘭南部核設施被俄軍破壞引起大火,懷疑核幅射洩漏。事件發生觸發市場恐慌情緒升溫,全球股市下挫,金價上揚2%,國際油價升逾6.8%。主要歐洲貨幣,歐羅和英鎊分別再挫1.27%和0.9%。避險資金分別流向亞洲區貨幣及商品貨幣,日圓升0.56%,澳元升0.66%,紐元升幅近1%。加元升幅未見受惠油價飊升,僅升0.39%。

 

美元逼近99大關

烏俄戰事不斷升級,歐洲資金流走,歐羅兌美元曾觸及18個月低位,低見1.0882。由烏俄危機發生至今,累計下跌五百多點子。歐羅兌美元,自去年六月以來錄得最大跌幅,美元指數突破上月高位,併升逾廿月高位,逼近99大關,高見98.91。

週末期間,俄軍宣布暫時停火,開放人道走廊為受影響的烏克蘭難民安全撤離。但該停火只是短暫,本週俄軍是否能全面進駐烏克蘭是主要關鍵之一。若俄軍成功全面控制烏克蘭,戰火可以暫時平息,緩和市場緊張氣氛,則較大機會穩定市場情緒,歐洲貨幣及全球股市有望能得以“喘跌回升”。

在這期間,投資者觀望週四晚歐洲央行議息會議及歐洲央行新聞發布會。在高企通脹和歐洲戰事緊張下,歐洲央行貨幣政策取向“孰鷹孰鴿”將會是歐洲貨幣未來走勢的關鍵之一。

 

澳紐元升勢強勁

技術上,歐羅兌美元若失守1.0880,則可能下望1.0772。若止跌回升,則上望1.1050及1.1115為短期阻力。而英鎊兌美元,若失守1.3135,下望1.3085或挑戰1.30關。若反彈,可上方阻力位1.3380或1.3435。

上週商品貨幣強勢,澳元和紐元分別高見三個月高位,分別站穩0.73和0.68水平。明日一連兩日的澳洲經濟數據,是觀察澳元及紐元走勢的關鍵數據之一。澳元兌美元能否一舉突破0.74,挑戰0.7460阻力是近期走勢的關鍵。反之,走勢轉跌,有機會下試0.7240。

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