差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

俄乌战事升级 欧洲货币捱沽

乌克兰南部核设施被俄军破坏引起大火,怀疑核幅射泄漏。事件发生触发市场恐慌情绪升温,全球股市下挫,金价上扬2%,国际油价升逾6.8%。主要欧洲货币,欧罗和英镑分别再挫1.27%和0.9%。避险资金分别流向亚洲区货币及商品货币,日圆升0.56%,澳元升0.66%,纽元升幅近1%。加元升幅未见受惠油价飊升,仅升0.39%。

 

美元逼近99大关

乌俄战事不断升级,欧洲资金流走,欧罗兑美元曾触及18个月低位,低见1.0882。由乌俄危机发生至今,累计下跌五百多点子。欧罗兑美元,自去年六月以来录得最大跌幅,美元指数突破上月高位,并升逾廿月高位,逼近99大关,高见98.91。

周末期间,俄军宣布暂时停火,开放人道走廊为受影响的乌克兰难民安全撤离。但该停火只是短暂,本周俄军是否能全面进驻乌克兰是主要关键之一。若俄军成功全面控制乌克兰,战火可以暂时平息,缓和市场紧张气氛,则较大机会稳定市场情绪,欧洲货币及全球股市有望能得以“喘跌回升”。

在这期间,投资者观望周四晚欧洲央行议息会议及欧洲央行新闻发布会。在高企通胀和欧洲战事紧张下,欧洲央行货币政策取向“孰鹰孰鸽”将会是欧洲货币未来走势的关键之一。

 

澳纽元升势强劲

技术上,欧罗兑美元若失守1.0880,则可能下望1.0772。若止跌回升,则上望1.1050及1.1115为短期阻力。而英镑兑美元,若失守1.3135,下望1.3085或挑战1.30关。若反弹,可上方阻力位1.3380或1.3435。

上周商品货币强势,澳元和纽元分别高见三个月高位,分别站稳0.73和0.68水平。明日一连两日的澳洲经济数据,是观察澳元及纽元走势的关键数据之一。澳元兑美元能否一举突破0.74,挑战0.7460阻力是近期走势的关键。反之,走势转跌,有机会下试0.7240。

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