差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格突破80美元蓄勢待漲

自2022年底以來,油價一直在支撐位附近交易,現在將進一步走高。

原油週圖

Oil - Weekly Chart

油價在82-83美元水平有阻力,將再次測試這一上限。

中國將2023年的GDP增長目標設定為“5%左右”,低於去年5.5%的目標,也低於經濟學家設定的5.24%的平均預測,週一油價遇到壓力。

去年,中國的GDP僅增長了3%,但在中國放鬆了對covid-19的嚴格規定後,分析人士對2023年的GDP抱有很高的期望。中國還將CPI的目標設定為3%,熱衷於對能源和農產品等大宗商品保持嚴格的價格控制。

由於交易員等待美聯儲主席鮑威爾在國會發表為期兩天的證詞,油價下跌。

Vanda Insights表示:“原油價格仍處於拉鋸戰之中,一方面是對中國重新開放的樂觀情緒,另一方面是對鷹派美聯儲損害美國經濟的緊張情緒。”

不穩定的油價影響了通脹預測

與此同時,愛沙尼亞敦促歐盟本月將俄羅斯石油60美元的價格上限減半,並進一步擠壓莫斯科為軍事提供資金的能力。

週五早些時候,油價下跌超過2美元/桶,此前《華爾街日報》報導稱,阿拉伯聯合酋長國計劃取消歐佩克成員國資格,以便生產更多石油。此舉將削弱歐佩克在全球市場上的影響力。然而,阿聯酋對《華爾街日報》的報導做出了強烈回應。它否認有任何離開歐佩克的意圖,這導致了油價的回升。

現在,油價有望突破每桶80美元,並開始中期反彈。這可能會損害各國央行的預期,他們希望通脹能夠降至2%的目標。

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