差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

戰爭擔憂重返供應鏈,原油價格反彈

週五,由於交易員看到戰爭恐懼捲土重來,油價上漲了1%,達到兩週以來的高點。

USOIL – Daily Chart

美國原油期貨-每日圖表

美國原油價格在67美元附近再次找到支撐,目前預期阻力位為71.75美元。在此之上的阻力位可能高達78美元。

受烏克蘭戰爭升級影響,布蘭特原油和西德州中質油本週上漲約6%,為去年11月以來的最高水準。

俄羅斯總統普丁表示,俄羅斯將繼續在戰鬥中測試其新型「奧列什尼克」高超音速飛彈,並有一批飛彈可供使用。 PVM分析師John Evans表示:“市場擔心的是,石油、天然氣和煉油行業的任何部分遭到意外破壞,這不僅會造成長期損害,還會加速戰爭的螺旋式上升。”

美國也對俄羅斯天然氣工業銀行實施了新的製裁。美國總統拜登正尋求在1月20日卸任前懲罰俄羅斯。克里姆林宮表示,最新的製裁是為了減緩俄羅斯天然氣的出口,但指出將找到解決方案。

摩根大通週五在報告中表示,預計2025年布蘭特原油均價為73美元/桶,但預計今年收盤將穩定在70美元/桶以下,美國西德克薩斯中質原油價格為64美元/桶。

報告指出:“過去一年,我們對2025年的看法基本保持不變:我們預計會有130萬桶/日的大量盈餘,布蘭特原油均價為73美元。”

該銀行預計,全球石油需求成長將從今年的130萬桶/日降至明年的110萬桶/日,並表示,在印度於2026年領先之前,預計中國將最後一次引領石油需求成長。

該行補充表示:「川普的能源議程因放鬆管制和美國產量增加而給油價帶來下行風險,同時也給伊朗、委內瑞拉(可能還有俄羅斯)施加壓力,要求其限製石油出口和收入,從而帶來上行風險。

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