差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

油價在美聯儲利率決議之前挑戰首個阻力位

原油價格繼續從今年的低迷中復蘇。

US Oil: Weekly Chart

US Oil:週線圖

油價已觸及了之前分析中提到的第一個阻力位。移動平均線和80美元水平是油價的目標,在85美元上方可能會有更大的漲勢。

由於美聯儲預計將發出結束加息策略的信號,黃金和其他大宗商品本周可能會受到提振。

投資者現在正在關注美聯儲暫停加息策略的可能性。

花旗研究表示,油價上漲反映出“沙特石油減產影響市場,形勢趨緊……儘管夏季汽油和航空燃油的需求相對較強”。

該銀行現在表示,夏季石油價格還有進一步上漲的空間,並預測第三季度的平均價格為每桶 83 美元。

NAB分析師寫道:“雖然美聯儲本週再次加息可能會帶來一些短期價格波動,但我們預計歐佩克減產導致的市場狀況收緊,以及市場對中國進一步刺激措施的猜測將繼續推高價格到23年第三季度。”

投資者已預計美聯儲將再加息 1 至 2 次,但通脹率已下降。利率上升導致投資放緩,美元走強,使得大宗商品對其他貨幣持有者來說更加昂貴。

中國已經出台了進一步措施來改善一些基礎設施領域的投資,規劃者表示,他們還將增加對私人項目的融資支持。

市場預計中國將採取有針對性的刺激措施來支持其緩慢的複蘇。

上周石油庫存低於預期,這可能是油價上漲的另一個原因。 OPEC 對油價低於 80 美元感到不滿,可能會嘗試採取額外措施來推動油價短期內上漲。

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