差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

随着异常温暖的冬天结束,天然气价格续跌

美國天然氣期貨 (NGH) 連續第三週下跌,2023 年 3 月 17 日收於每百萬英制熱單位 2.087 美元。這是自 2020 年 12 月和上個月以來的最低價格。 下降的原因是溫暖的冬季和春季天氣,這減少了對供暖和製冷的需求。 因此,美國天然氣儲存水平現在比去年同期高出 36.1%,比五年平均水平高出 22.7%。 市場現在正在尋找隨著天氣變暖需求將回升的跡象。

天然氣期貨展望

天然氣價格大幅下跌,從 8 月份的 14 年高位每百萬英熱單位 10 美元跌至 12 月份的 7 美元,然後在最近幾週穩定在 2 美元左右的區間。

截至 2023 年 3 月 17 日,美國的天然氣儲存量為 1.9 萬億立方英尺 (Tcf),比去年同期增長 36.1%,比該日期的五年平均水平高 22.7%。 根據能源信息署 (EIA) 的數據,存儲量的增加主要是由於冬季月份的天氣條件比正常情況溫和。

美國天然氣期貨交易價格接近近幾個月的最低水平,但這可能是市場觸底反彈的跡象。 下行勢頭減弱有時會先行於逆轉,因為投資者對市場的複蘇能力更有信心。

4-Hour Chart – Falling Wedge Continues Growing

4 小時圖 – NGH(下降楔形繼續增長)

4 小時圖顯示本月早些時候確定的下降楔形形態仍在發展中。 只要天然氣保持在這種模式的範圍內,近期前景仍然看跌。 然而,向上突破將為看漲逆轉打開大門。 一旦價格突破 4 小時圖上的 10 和 20 移動平均線,它將關注目前位於 2.3539 美元的 50 週期簡單移動平均線 (SMA),可能成為阻力。

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