差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

天然氣價格暴跌持續打擊對沖基金面臨危機

儘管中東局勢緊張,天然氣價格已從1月的3.341跌至1.60。

GAS – Daily Chart

GAS-日圖

天然氣價格已經跌至2023年的低點1.80附近,未來可能會出現波動,因為價格在一定程度上似乎是由被迫拋售造成的。

上週,伊朗指責以色列襲擊其一條重要的天然氣管道後,天然氣供應無法增加。 《紐約時報》報道稱,伊朗掌握了以色列參與攻擊的證據。 同時,以色列繼續對加薩和哈馬斯施壓。

儘管價格處於1990年以來的最低水平,但價格進一步下跌的看跌頭寸仍在繼續增加。 上週,對沖基金和基金經理人賣出了3,910億立方英尺與美國Henry Hub基準價格相關的兩種主要期貨和選擇權合約。

美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)的數據顯示,最近四周,基金經理人一直在拋售天然氣,自1月中旬以來,他們的多頭部位總計減少了1,687立方英尺。

自去年以來,基金經理人一直試圖預測天然氣價格將出現突破,最近的阻力位突破3美元導致這些投機部位大幅出清。 溫和的氣溫等外部因素有助於抑制價格,而北美和歐洲的天然氣庫存遠高於季節性平均水平,而且這兩個地區的過剩庫存仍在繼續增加。

對沖基金的一些強制拋售將推低天然氣價格。 這可能會給交易員提供一些大幅反彈的空間,以尋找賣出的機會。

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