差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

本周如何交易歐元/美元?

隨著市場從美元的大幅看漲中復蘇,歐元/美元已經飆升。

匯價已經跳升至1.04的阻力位,交易者本週應該關注這一價位。

歐元/美元週圖

EURUSD – Weekly Chart

影響匯價的首個數據將於週二發布,其中包括歐元區第三季度GDP的修正值,以及歐洲經濟研究中心(ZEW)德國經濟信心指數。

投資者應期待歐元突破走高,支撐位看低至1.02。接下來需要關注的數據是周四公佈的歐元區核心通脹率,預計將為5%,上月為4.8%。

歐洲央行行長拉加德暗示,如果通脹仍然停滯不前,還可以採取更多措施。這可能對歐元很重要,因為美聯儲暗示將放緩加息步伐。

拉加德表示:例如,如果我們看到通脹變得更加持續,預期面臨去錨定的風險,我們就不能等到政策措施的全部影響實現。我們需要採取更多行動,直到我們更有信心通脹將及時回到目標水平。

副行長德金多斯也表示,歐洲央行必須”繼續專注於減少對需求的支持,防範通脹預期持續上升的風險。”政府應該堅持對受當前通脹危機打擊的家庭提供“臨時性”和“有針對性的”支持。

在上次歐洲央行會議上,上調利率至2%,上調0.75%。

與此同時,歐盟委員會預測德國經濟明年將出現下滑。根據秋季預測,德國今年的GDP將再增長1.6%。不過,明年仍將下降0.6%。

德國是歐元區唯一預計今年將出現負增長的國家。德國經濟表現疲弱的關鍵原因是能源價格上漲。

德國ZEW經濟景氣指數預計為-50,好於上月的-59.2,但仍較弱。

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