差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在數據密集的一周,如何交易歐元/美元?

歐元兌美元在經濟日曆上迎來繁忙的一周,應該為交易者提供機會。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元/美元日圖

歐元兌美元上週反彈至1.09,並立即出現一輪拋售,這將是匯價未來一周的關鍵水平。

聖路易斯聯邦儲備銀行行長詹姆斯·布拉德討論了美國提高利率的問題。布拉德表示,監管機構的”迅速”反應將緩解銀行業的壓力。與此同時,經濟和通貨膨脹依然強勁。

週五,布拉德表示,他預計美聯儲基準利率將在2023年底前升至5.50%-5.75%的區間。與其他美聯儲成員相比,布拉德處於預期較高的一端。

美聯儲預計加息,“這是對更強勁的經濟消息做出的反應,也是基於金融壓力在未來幾周和幾個月內緩解的假設。”

他補充說,這將是美聯儲主席鮑威爾的利率決定。他承認,如果銀行業危機再次爆發,“可能會出現不利局面”。然而,布拉德表示,問題已經解決的可能性為80%。

自從美聯儲開始大舉加息週期以來,投資者一直痴迷於美聯儲的“轉向”。不過,他們仍然對加息路徑感到失望。

歐元/美元預測

市場將關注週一公佈的IFO德國商業環境調查數據。隨後將有兩份消費者信心報告出爐,分別是周二的美國和周三的德國。

週四,歐洲最大經濟體將迎來通脹報告,預計將從8.7%大幅下跌至7.3%,交易員應密切關注這一數據,以防可能出現失誤。

如果德意志銀行在未來一周繼續面臨拋售壓力,歐元也可能承壓。瑞士信貸被匆忙收購之後,投資者將注意力轉向了德銀。

德國總理朔爾茨表示:“德意志銀行已經從根本上實現了業務現代化和重組,是一家利潤非常豐厚的銀行,沒有理由擔心。”

他補充稱:“歐洲銀行的資本充足率強勁,這得益於過去幾年的工作,也得益於銀行自身的努力。”

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