差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯準會表態強硬,金價回落至3,000美元以下

聯準會主席鮑威爾的鷹派言論導致黃金價格下跌。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

現貨黃金-日線圖

由於交易者解除多頭頭寸,現貨黃金價格在兩天內暴跌了近150美元。目前面臨阻力位,進一步支撐位在2800美元上方。

聯準會主席鮑威爾在維吉尼亞州的一次會議上談到了經濟問題,他說,貨幣政策處於有利地位,需要等待進一步的明確。鮑威爾表示,關稅「可能在未來幾季推高通膨,並可能產生更持久的影響」。

他補充稱,長期通膨指標“錨定得很好”,央行的義務是確保“物價水準的一次性上漲不會演變成持續的通膨問題”。

也補充說,經濟前景非常不確定,儘管經濟處於良好狀態,但下行風險已經上升。由於經濟前景,貨幣市場交易員預計2025年聯準會將放寬1%以上的貨幣政策。然而,隨著疑慮的出現,黃金的漲勢正在回撤。

儘管最近出現了拋售,但德意志銀行最近幾天提高了對黃金平均價格的預測。這家投資銀行表示,受全球經濟和地緣政治發展的推動,2025年和2026年金價應分別達到每盎司3139美元和3700美元。該銀行先前預測,今年的平均價格為2,725美元,2026年為2,900美元。

其他將2025年股價目標定在3,000美元以上的投資銀行包括美國銀行、高盛和匯豐銀行。摩根士丹利和澳洲澳新銀行的最低目標為2,763美元。

根據中國人民銀行上週發布的官方數據,中國央行3月連續第五個月增持黃金。

各國央行一直熱衷於購買實體金屬,隨著關稅環境為世界經濟增加不確定性,這種情況可能會持續下去。

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