差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

今日非農報告出爐前,金價逼近1800美元:能否突破這一心理阻力?

XAUUSD-貴金屬黃金已經連續三周處於強勁的看漲趨勢。金價在7月份跌至1682.20美元的低點後,多頭不斷推高金價。在今天的亞洲交易時段,金價首次嘗試收復1800美元的心理阻力位,但最終跌破1794.50美元。在市場等待非農就業報告之際,多頭似乎正在這個水平獲利了結。非農就業報告將於今日發布,該報告衡量的是不包括農業的就業創造情況。與此同時,還有一份關於剛剛結束的7月份美國普通工人平均時薪的報告。

分析師目前預測金價在此時形成雙底後可能出現短回調,這在4小時圖可以看到。在這一點上,買入壓力似乎也在逐漸減弱。

黃金價格本周大幅受益於美元走強。美元指數一直保持在106以下,這在很大程度上為這種貴金屬帶來了利潤。

此外,對美國可能因猴痘傳播而實施封鎖的擔憂,促使更多投資者買入黃金。

隨著全球對經濟衰退的擔憂加劇,黃金再次成為投資者的安全避風港。全球高通貨膨脹率讓黃金成為了解決這一局面的良方。

今日公佈的非農就業報告結果將對金價產生重大影響。這一數據的積極將使美元走強,並支持金價在當前水平上逆轉。相反,非農就業報告的負面數據將推動金價突破1800美元。

同樣,投資者也要關注與之相伴的美國工人平均時薪的結果。該數據給出了美國各公司和其他企業上個月的勞動力支付金額變化。這一讀數的上升表明勞動力市場有所改善。這將有利於美元,並限制目前黃金價格的進一步飆升。

相反,該數據的較低讀數有助於黃金繼續接近1800美元。對這一數據的預測與前值0.3%相同。

這兩份報告將決定今天黃金的表現。因此,投資者在今天做多或做空黃金價格時,有必要關注這些數據的結果。

非農報告將對今天的金價產生什麼影響?

非農報告通常會公佈前一個月的平均失業人數,不包括農業。失業率數據是影響美元的重要經濟數據。失業率的上升使資金不願進入這個國家。這降低了對美元的需求。當美元在市場上大幅貶值時,金價往往會受益。

相反,通過創造新的就業機會而降低的失業率有利於美元,削弱黃金。因此,當就業創造出現改善時,就會有更多的投資者湧入。

對這一數據的預測與前值3.6%相同。數字下降對黃金是不利的。只會利多美元,削弱黃金。

同樣,非農就業變化的預測是250K,前值是372K。這一數據的上升對美元有利,對黃金則意味著負面影響。只有數據低於預期,才有利於金價反彈。

預測

美國6月份通貨膨脹率升至9.1%,創下40年來的最高水平,投資者希望失業率上升,這將推動金價突破目前的阻力位1800美元。如果是這樣的話,失業率可能不會受到太大影響的可能性將有利於美元。

無論哪種情況,預計今日市場上將出現大幅波動。投資者應正確管理風險,以增加利潤。

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