差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

本週聚焦英鎊/美元的重要經濟數據

在美聯儲暫停加息後,英鎊/美元將尋求維持近期漲勢,英國通脹將在本周初公佈數據。

GBPUSD – Weekly Chart

英鎊/美元 – 週線圖

英鎊/美元突破了周線圖上的雙重阻力位 1.2667,本週必須守住該水平才能進一步上漲。

本週的第一個數據將是英國的通脹數據,市場預計將小幅下降至 8.5%。在分析師錯誤地判斷英國頑固的通貨膨脹路徑之後,英鎊今年一直波動較大,英國 8 個月中有 7 個月的通貨膨脹率都在 10% 以上。

週四英國央行將舉行利率會議,因此通脹數據更為關鍵。英國央行會像歐洲央行那樣再提高 25 個基點嗎?還是像美聯儲一樣暫停加息?

高通脹水平更有可能再次加息,一些交易員認為加息 50 個基點是可能的。

投資銀行 Investec 的桑德拉·霍斯菲爾德 (Sandra Horsfield) 表示,大幅加息將是 “激進的” ,而且在減緩工資螺旋上升方面的效果不明顯。

本周美聯儲主席鮑威爾還將在美國國會發表為期兩天的證詞。

利率暫停後可能不會有什麼意外,決策將取決於經濟數據。但是,它可能會在其數據之後影響英鎊/美元的走勢。由於英國央行加息和經濟表現好於悲觀預期,英鎊今年一直走強。

英鎊/美元上週突破阻力位,但仍需依靠積極的數據來幫助尋求在外匯市場的進一步漲勢。

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