差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌日圓守在156.50附近,聯準會自相矛盾的表態給前景蒙陰

美元兌日圓週一在亞洲早盤小幅走高,在156.50附近盤整,因市場權衡了美聯儲官員發出的好壞參半的信號,以及日本持續的干預威脅。

USDJPY_2025-11-24_10-24-54 Chart

美元/日圓圖表

聯準會官員表態謹慎,提振美元

美元從聯準會政策制定者的謹慎評論中獲得了基本支撐,緩和了市場對即將降息的預期。最新的聯準會會議紀要顯示,人們一致反對12月降息,這一立場在最近的演講中得到了呼應。

波士頓聯邦儲備銀行行長蘇珊柯林斯表示,目前的貨幣政策定位良好。

達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行行長洛根強調,有必要「一段時間」保持利率穩定,以充分評估其對經濟的影響。

不過,紐約聯邦儲備銀行總裁威廉斯反駁了這種鷹派傾向,他堅持認為,聯準會仍可能在「短期內」降息,而不會危及其對抗通膨的努力。這種分歧造成了不確定性,讓交易員等待進一步的數據來尋找方向,週二的生產者物價指數報告是下一個關鍵考驗。

日本的干預威脅限制了美元兌日圓的上行空間

由於日本當局不斷升級的口頭幹預,該貨幣對的潛在漲幅有限。日本財務大臣片山徹明確表示,幹預仍是對抗日圓「過度波動和投機行為」的可行工具。

同時,圍繞日本央行下一步政策舉措的猜測繼續升溫。雖然日本央行自今年1月以來一直將利率維持在0.5%,但行長植田和男強烈暗示,最快可能在12月或明年1月升息。最近的一項路透社調查顯示,多數經濟學家目前預計12月將升息至0.75%,這與市場對未來幾個月升息的預期一致。

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