差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊兌美元在零售銷售數據公佈前下跌

在聯準會對利率調整持謹慎態度後,英鎊兌美元匯率繼續下跌。

GBPUSD - Daily Chart

英鎊兌美元-日圖

由於英國新政府增加稅收,英鎊兌美元匯率自去年9月以來大幅下跌。 1.2665已被證明是一個障礙,有可能會跌至1.25。

儘管英國央行將利率維持在當前水平,但英鎊仍然疲軟。如果聯準會更加謹慎,交易員們預期英國的降息幅度仍將超過美國。

英國央行決策者在權衡經濟停滯和通膨上升的擔憂後,投票結果出現分歧,利率維持在4.75%不變。英國央行貨幣政策委員會週四表示,在8月和11月兩次降息後,將維持利率不變。

但這並不是一致的決定,六名成員投票支持將基準利率維持在4.75%,而三名成員投票支持將基準利率下調0.25個百分點。貨幣政策委員會的新預測也顯示,2024年最後三個月的經濟成長將比先前的預測更糟。

英國央行經濟學家目前預計,10 – 12月國內生產毛額將成長0%,低於該行11月預測的0.3%。聯準會主席鮑威爾預計利率將會上升,這提振了美元的價格。

聯準會表示,2025年的通膨率仍將高於預期,目前預計2025年只會降息兩次,而不是先前預期的四次。 B. Riley Investments的首席市場策略師Art Hogan表示,這是「對市場的一記重擊」。 “這讓每個人都嚇壞了,”他補充說。英國將於香港時間週五下午3點公佈零售銷售數據,投資者預計將從上個月的-0.7躍升至0.5%。

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