差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

英镑兑美元在零售销售数据公布前下跌

在美联储对利率调整持谨慎态度后,英镑兑美元汇率继续下跌。

GBPUSD - Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日图

由于英国新政府增加税收,英镑兑美元汇率自去年9月以来大幅下跌。1.2665已被证明是一个障碍,有可能会跌至1.25。

尽管英国央行将利率维持在当前水平,但英镑依然疲软。如果美联储更加谨慎,交易员们预计英国的降息幅度仍将超过美国。

英国央行政策制定者在权衡经济停滞和通胀上升的担忧后,投票结果出现分歧,利率维持在4.75%不变。英国央行货币政策委员会周四表示,在8月和11月两次降息后,将维持利率不变。

但这并不是一致的决定,六名成员投票支持将基准利率维持在4.75%,而三名成员投票支持将基准利率下调0.25个百分点。货币政策委员会的新预测还显示,2024年最后三个月的经济增长将比之前的预测更糟糕。

英国央行经济学家目前预计,10 – 12月国内生产总值将增长0%,低于该行11月预测的0.3%。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔预计利率将会上升,这提振了美元的价格。

美联储表示,2025年的通胀率仍将高于预期,目前预计2025年只会降息两次,而不是此前预期的四次。B. Riley Investments的首席市场策略师Art Hogan表示,这是“对市场的一记重击”。“这让每个人都吓坏了,”他补充说。英国将于香港时间周五下午3点公布零售销售数据,投资者预计将从上个月的-0.7跃升至0.5%。

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