差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美聯儲加息後歐元/美元回撤

在美聯儲確認加息75個基點後,歐元兌美元繼續下跌。

美聯儲主席鮑威爾暗示將結束激進的加息政策,但表示利率“還有一段路要走”。這讓人們對政策轉向的短期希望化為泡影。

歐元/美元日圖

EURUSD – Daily Chart Nov-03-2022-09-27-13-5494-PM

歐元兌美元在1.01至0.98的價格通道內交易,更低的突破將看向0.97或0.96。

鮑威爾說,頑固的價格壓力使美聯儲降低通貨膨脹而不造成經濟衰退的可能性降低。在決議後的新聞發布會上,鮑威爾還被問及“軟著陸”的可能性是否有所減小。

鮑威爾表示依然有這個可能性,我們一直說這很困難,而利率還需要維持更高且更久,不過上調空間已經變小。

由於歐洲央行長期努力提高利率而造成的利差,歐元受到了影響。

週三歐元區的經濟數據也有所放緩,製造業狀況也在放緩。歐元區10月份製造業PMI從48.4降至29個月低點46.4。儘管新訂單大幅減少,運營成本上升,但企業仍在繼續招聘,這暗示著失業率不太可能飆升。

歐元/美元可以測試近期價格通道的較低水平,經濟數據和利率路徑有利於美元。

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