差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元聚焦德國通膨和消費者數據

隨著週三德國數據的公佈,歐元兌美元匯率正在測試阻力位。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日圖

在周三數據公佈之前,歐元兌美元匯率正在測試1.0885。

歐洲經濟於香港時間週三下午2點公佈德國消費者信心數據。該數據仍為負值,但預計將較上月有所改善。

接著是香港時間晚上8點的通膨數據,這是5月的初步數據。預計將從2.2%提高到2.4%,這可能會推高歐元的價格。

然而,投資人正期待6月6日的歐洲央行會議,屆時預計將首次降息。

根據歐洲央行的數據,4月份歐元區消費者通膨預期下降。歐洲央行的數據顯示,預計未來12個月價格將上漲2.9%,低於3月的3%。

歐洲央行決策者之間仍存在一些相互矛盾的想法,法國央行總裁維勒魯瓦週一表示,歐洲央行不應排除在6月和7月降息的可能性。包括執行委員施納貝爾在內的更多鷹派政策制定者最近反對連續降息。

首席經濟學家菲利普·萊恩表示:“我們看到的情況足以讓我們開始降息,”但他補充說:“事情將會很坎坷,而且將是漸進的。”

歐洲央行總裁拉加德也暗示,利率可能在明年開始下降。

拉加德對愛爾蘭RTE電視台表示:“我非常有信心,我們已經控制住了通膨。”

他說:“我們對明年和後年的預測即使沒有達到目標,也非常非常接近目標。所以,我相信我們已經進入了控制階段。”

美國消費者信心指數走高,報102.0,預估為95.9。週五將有重要的美國經濟數據出爐,包括第一季GDP數據。分析師預計,由於利率上升繼續給經濟成長帶來壓力,美國經濟成長將從3.4%降至1.3%。

由於預計下週歐洲將迎來降息,美國GDP可能是近期最重要的數據。

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