差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/美元等待德國及美國通脹數據

歐元/美元等待德國和美國周二公佈的通脹數據。

歐洲最大經濟體的通脹終值很可能接近預期的10%。美國11月份CPI,將成為匯率的驅動因素。

歐元/美元週圖

EURUSD Weekly Chart 1

歐元兌美元已經停止了最近的反彈,並在1.06找到了阻力位。這種情況發生的可能性很大,但這將取決於數據。

美元的強勢必須來自高於預期的通脹率。

分析師預計,最近一個月的通脹率將從6.3%降至6.1%。同比預計也將從7.7%下降到7.3%。在經歷了近期的跌勢後,數據意外大於預期的話,將讓美元重新佔據主導地位。

專家表示,由於德國政治領導人同意推出低成本公共交通車票,未來幾個月德國通脹可能會下降。荷蘭國際集團(ING)首席經濟學家Carsten Brzeski稱,49歐元月票是政府第一個救助計劃臨時方案的延伸,起到抑制通脹的作用。

預計,在2023年第一季度,由於月票的推出,通脹率將比平時低一個百分點,家庭和企業的天然氣價格將進一步受到限制。因此,也將在12月達到通脹峰值。

在美國,通貨膨脹在最近幾個月已經降溫,這導致了美元的拋售,因為美聯儲表示將放緩加息的步伐。

美國財政部長耶倫表示,只要經濟沒有受到意外衝擊,她認為明年年底價格會大幅下降。

11月的通脹數據對歐元/美元來說非常重要,因為美聯儲將在一天后召開會議。分析師們預計美聯儲將加息50個基點,交易員們將試圖從通脹數據中獲取下一步行動的先機。

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