差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/日元 面臨歐洲央行紀要和日本通脹的十字路口

歐元/日元本週聚焦歐洲央行會議紀要和日本通脹數據。

EURJPY – Weekly Chart

歐元/日元 – 週線圖

歐元/日元匯率在 148.40 位置有阻力。即將發布的數據應該會測試該位置來進行突破或反轉。

歐洲央行週四公佈貨幣政策會議記錄。儘管最近銀行業出現問題,金融市場仍然相信歐洲中央銀行將繼續提高利率以應對通脹。

預計這場危機將減緩信貸增長和經濟,讓政策制定者有機會暫停加息。然而,高盛集團在銀行業危機壓力下將最終利率下調至 3.5% 後,又恢復了 3.75% 的預測。

彭博社智庫首席衍生品策略師 Tanvir Sandhu 表示:“焦點很快回到了頑固通脹的風險上。” 他預計,自銀行危機以來,達到 3.75% 峰值利率的可能性將增加一倍以上。

歐元/日元預測

貨幣市場押注歐洲央行將在 5 月、6 月和 7 月各加息 25 個基點。歐洲央行首席經濟學家菲利普萊恩表示:“鑑於通脹大幅上升,大幅提高利率是很重要的。” “在利率方面,市場預計會有更多加息,並且預計未來幾年利率都將保持在相對較高的水平”。

歐洲央行的利率舉措推動歐元兌日元走高,因為新任日本央行行長沒有退出其前任行長的寬鬆政策計劃。如果日本通脹連續第二個月下降,可能會推高歐元。在最近的歐佩克減產後,交易員應該留意油價壓力。

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