差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

週五英國GDP公佈,歐元/英鎊該關注的價位

週五的經濟數據將包括德國10月通脹終值,但關鍵數據將是英國最新的三個月GDP數據。

英國經濟預計將出現-0.5%的萎縮,實際結果將決定匯率的走勢。

歐元/英鎊日圖

eurgbp-chart

歐元兌英鎊的日圖暗示該貨幣對將進一步走低。在截至9月底的三個月裡,高於預期的GDP萎縮可能是催化劑。如果德國10月通脹率終值低於預期,也會引發這樣的走勢。

英國房地產中介報告稱,10月份英國房價預計將放緩,結束了連續28個月的房價上漲。

CNBC對英鎊的長期前景持悲觀態度,稱中長期來看,歷史上最疲軟的英鎊會對英國產生多種影響,其中最重要的影響是進口,因為進口更加昂貴,而出口應該更有競爭力。

布朗大學經濟學教授馬克·布萊斯說:“問題是英國非常依賴進口,幾乎三分之二的食品依賴進口,所以實際有效匯率下降10%真的會很快轉化為更高的食品價格。”

最新的通貨膨脹數據顯示,英國的食品價格每年上漲12%。更高的通貨膨脹也意味著今年英國經濟的工資增長放緩。為了抑制通貨膨脹,英國央行已經將利率從今年的0.25%提高到目前的3%。

然而,英國央行首席經濟學家上週表示,為了遏制通脹,利率將不得不進一步上升。這對經濟來說不是好消息。根據央行的說法,經濟正走向為期兩年的低迷期。

德國的通脹率將證實從10%上升到10.4%,如果出現偏差,可能會影響歐元匯率。

交易員應該會在英國GDP數據中看到一些波動,並且應該在歐元/英鎊日圖收盤價疲軟的情況下關注下行。

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