差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/英鎊即將迎接英國和德國發布的經濟數據

隨著英國通脹數據和德國 IFO 商業信心指數的發布,歐元/英鎊在周三可能會有所波動。

EURGBP – Weekly Chart

歐元/英鎊 – 週線圖

外匯貨幣對歐元/英鎊的目標是處於上升趨勢支撐位的0.86水平,但將取決於經濟數據。

路透社對經濟學家進行的調差顯示,英國 4 月份的年通脹率預計將從目前的 10.1% 放緩至 8.2%。經濟學研究公司Pantheon Macroeconomics 指出,一年前,電力和天然氣價格分別上漲了 40.5% 和 66.8%。然而,這些價格在上個月持平,這應該會影響週三公佈的英國國家統計局(ONS)數據。

然而,上個月預計也出現了類似的下降,但價格仍保持 10% 的年增長率。這使得周三的最新數據更加關鍵。

各國政府一直在尋求將通脹率恢復到央行設定的 2% 目標。英國首相 Rishi Sunak 希望看到該國今年接近 5%。

與此同時,國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF)對英國經濟進行了大幅上調。

歐元/英鎊預測

IMF 表示,英國財政大臣傑里米·亨特 (Jeremy Hunt) 應該維持其削減公共支出的計劃。該組織表示,稅收政策應“在抗擊通脹方面與貨幣政策保持一致”。

它說,任何財政盈餘都應該用於減少政府債務和“重建財政緩衝”。

 預計英國經濟在明年將增長 0.4%,而此前的預期是萎縮 0.3%。英國經濟現在有望超越德國。

“如果我們堅持該計劃,國際貨幣基金組織確認我們的長期增長前景比德國、法國和意大利更強勁,”財政大臣亨特表示。

明天還將發布與德國經濟和 IFO 商業氣候數據。週四還將公佈歐洲最大經濟體的消費者信心數據。

然而,經濟學家預計商業信心指標將基本持平。

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