差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌英鎊面臨進一步走低的風險,聚焦英國就業報告

英國經濟將於週二公佈就業報告,這可能會推動英鎊進一步升值。

EURGBP - Daily Chart
歐元兌英鎊-日圖

歐元兌英鎊已跌破1月高點0.8450附近的支撐位。這是避免進一步下跌至0.8320的關鍵水準。

英國4月就業報告將於香港時間週二14:00公佈。市場正期待上個月20.6萬個就業機會的改善。儘管就業人數增加,但失業率仍在4.4%左右,最新預期為4.4%。

德國消費者物價指數將於週三同時公佈。市場預計該指標將維持在2.2%。任何偏差都可能影響歐洲利率前景。 QNB稱,該國新政府繼承了沉重的遺產,為經濟成長帶來了重大挑戰。自二戰以來,德國一直是歐洲的經濟強國,但在過去20年裡,德國的經濟成長放緩。

負面的人口趨勢,過度的監管和稅收負擔,以及無法使其行業現代化以適應數位時代。德國經濟表現不佳,實際GDP在過去五年中保持不變。相較之下,同期美國經濟成長12.2%,其他歐元區國家經濟成長5%。

由新總理梅爾茨領導的新政府希望在經濟政策和表現上創造一個轉折點。數十年的財政紀律和緊縮即將被一項規模可能達到1兆歐元(包括基礎設施和國防)的大規模財政擴張計劃所拋棄。

英國央行首席經濟學家表示,關稅和貿易不確定性並未導致英國經濟「戲劇性」轉變。此前他指出,人們對新的英美貿易協定的影響存在「誤導性」看法。

在英國央行將利率下調至4.25%並下調明年英國經濟成長預期後,休•皮爾發表了上述言論。他說:“我認為重要的是,基線預測中的分析並不表明,在這些貿易聲明和貿易不確定性的背景下,英國經濟的行為會發生巨大變化。”

他補充說:“當地企業目前正尋求加大美元對沖力度,並開始從美國投資轉向多元化。”

英鎊兌歐元已開始反彈,本週數據將推動英鎊進一步走強。

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