差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/英鎊在德國通脹達到70年高點後大跌

由於英國的財政問題,歐元對英鎊的匯率一直在飆升。

但在德國通貨膨脹率再次飆升後,英鎊今天走在了前面,我們可能會看到歐元兌英鎊的進一步修正。

歐元/英鎊日圖

eurgbp chart september

歐元兌英鎊匯率下跌至0.8833,此前觸及0.9200上方的近期高位。歐元的支撐位從0.8700水平開始,50日移動均線略低於0.8650。

現在德國的通貨膨脹比英國的還要迅猛,這將給歐洲中央銀行敲響警鐘。根據最新數據,9月份通貨膨脹率達到10.9%,是20世紀50年代以來的最高水平。由於交易員擔心經濟衰退正在逼近,以及歐洲央行在利率方面的行動不夠迅速,歐元大幅下跌。週五,歐元區將公佈通脹數據,預計歐元區通脹率將達到9.7%。

荷蘭國際集團(ING)經濟學家Carsten Brzeski向英國《金融時報》表示,“德國的通脹正再度升溫”,而且“很難想像”歐洲央行不會馬上再次出手干預。德國四家經濟機構也下調了對德國經濟增長的預期,認為2023年將出現經濟衰退。

“我的選擇是75個基點,”歐洲央行政策制定者希姆庫斯週四在一次會議上表示。 “但50個基點是最低限度。”

他們現在預計,歐元區經濟在未來一年將收縮0.4%,遠低於此前預測的3.1%。週五對歐元/英鎊來說是重要的一天,英國GDP數據、意大利和歐元區通脹數據以及德國就業數據都將發布,如果交易者想要尋求波動,他們應該從這些數據開始。

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