差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元漲幅可能有限,歐元兌英鎊等待英國央行決議

美國非農業就業數據低於預期,美元大跌,美股獲得買盤

在最新的美國就業報告後,美元大幅下跌。對美國通膨將維持高位的擔憂繼續主導美元價格走勢。美國供應管理學會(ISM)最新發布的服務業數據顯示,美國經濟成長放緩,物價上漲。服務業PMI降至兩年來最低水平,而支付價格躍升至三個月高點。

由於下週歐盟缺乏重要的數據發布或事件,歐元將容易受到其他貨幣走勢的影響。在英國,英國央行將於英國時間10日(週四)中午宣布其最新的政策決定,預計所有政策刻度盤將保持不變。投票模式可能會發生變化,更多的成員投票支持降息,這將削弱英鎊。英國央行也將發布最新的季度通膨和成長報告。

本週,歐元兌英鎊收復了近期的部分失地,並突破了20日和50日移動均線。在200日移動均線切入0.8603之前,下一個阻力位在0.86。在此之上,支撐位為0.8620和0.8645。向下移動時,支撐位見於0.8550和0.8520。

歐元兌英鎊日圖走勢

eurgbp chart

下周美國經濟數據也不多。然而,在聯準會決議和非農就業數據公佈後,市場可以預期聯準會會有一連串的演講。歐元和美元的利差將繼續受到密切關注,預計歐洲央行將在6月的政策會議上開始降息。

歐元兌美元仍處於上升趨勢通道內,但如果該貨幣對突破趨勢支撐位,這可能很快就會變成一個負面的空頭訊號。更低高點和更低低點的長期趨勢仍然存在,跌破1.06被視為下一個負面訊號。在此之前,趨勢支撐位、20日移動均線和之前1.07左右的波動低點將作為一線支撐位。反彈將在1.0780和1.0795之間出現初步阻力,更高的阻力位於1.0885。

歐元兌美元日圖走勢

eurusd chart

零售交易者數據顯示,47.54%的交易者是淨多頭,做空與做多的比例為1.10比1。淨多頭交易者的數量比昨天減少了9.02%,比上週減少了5.35%。相較之下,淨做空的交易者數量比昨天增加了18.22%,比上週增加了17.35%。

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