差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

隨著美國的債務上限協議臨近,比特幣又觸及了另一個阻力位。

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

BTCUSD – 日線圖

比特幣BTC上漲至 28,000 美元的水平,但又跌破了 27,000 美元大關。

比特幣可能會因債務上限協議的達成而走弱,因為它將把債務上限推遲到 2024 年大選之後。比特幣被視為一種反政府形式的資產,而在政府正常運作的情況下需求較少。

預計美國眾議院將就增加該國 31 萬億美元債務的協議進行投票。然而,在兩黨議員的反對下,仍有可能發生戲劇性的情況。

眾議院議長凱文·麥卡錫和眾議院少數黨領袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯需要獲得共和黨和民主黨的批准,以避免美國在幾天內出現債務違約。據說很大一部分左翼民主黨人反對這筆交易。與此同時,許多共和黨人認為這未能遏制失控的支出。該協議將債務上限推遲到 2024 年大選後的 2025 年第一季度。

比特幣價格預測

比特幣還受到美聯儲政策制定洛雷塔·梅斯特的鷹派言論的影響。 “我真的沒有看到一個令人信服的理由來暫停加息,”她告訴英國《金融時報》。梅斯特補充說:“我會看到更多令人信服的理由來提高利率,然後維持一段時間,直到對經濟走向的不確定性降低。”

美國最近公佈的通脹數據高於預期,進一步支持了加息的看漲情緒。

疲軟的中國經濟數據是風險資產的另一個拖累,該國製造業指數為 48.8,低於預期的49.4。

與此同時,投資銀行摩根大通看好比特幣的前景。摩根大通分析師表示:“隨著金價升至 2,000 美元以上,在央行以外用於投資目的而持有的黃金價值目前約為 [3 萬億美元]。”

“因此,在私人投資者投資組合中比特幣與黃金持平的假設下,比特幣的價格可能達到 45,000 美元。”

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