差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

随着美国的债务上限协议临近,比特币遭遇阻力

随着美国的债务上限协议临近,比特币又触及了另一个阻力位。

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

BTCUSD – 日线图

比特币BTC上涨至 28,000 美元的水平,但又跌破了 27,000 美元大关。

比特币可能会因债务上限协议的达成而走弱,因为它将把债务上限推迟到 2024 年大选之后。 比特币被视为一种反政府形式的资产,而在政府正常运作的情况下需求较少。

预计美国众议院将就增加该国 31 万亿美元债务的协议进行投票。 然而,在两党议员的反对下,仍有可能发生戏剧性的情况。

众议院议长凯文·麦卡锡和众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯需要获得共和党和民主党的批准,以避免美国在几天内出现债务违约。 据说很大一部分左翼民主党人反对这笔交易。 与此同时,许多共和党人认为这未能遏制失控的支出。 该协议将债务上限推迟到 2024 年大选后的 2025 年第一季度。

比特币价格预测

比特币还受到美联储政策制定洛雷塔·梅斯特的鹰派言论的影响。 “我真的没有看到一个令人信服的理由来暂停加息,”她告诉英国《金融时报》。 梅斯特补充说:“我会看到更多令人信服的理由来提高利率,然后维持一段时间,直到对经济走向的不确定性降低。”

美国最近公布的通胀数据高于预期,进一步支持了加息的看涨情绪。

疲软的中国经济数据是风险资产的另一个拖累,该国制造业指数为 48.8,低于预期的49.4。

与此同时,投资银行摩根大通看好比特币的前景。 摩根大通分析师表示:“随着金价升至 2,000 美元以上,在央行以外用于投资目的而持有的黄金价值目前约为 [3 万亿美元]。”

“因此,在私人投资者投资组合中比特币与黄金持平的假设下,比特币的价格可能达到 45,000 美元。”

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