差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳元因就業變動意外下跌而失去動能:將如何影響澳元兌美元?

在就業數據大幅下降的報告公佈後,澳元在市場上對其交叉盤大幅貶值。在過去的一個月裡,地緣緊張局勢的日益擔憂,似乎已導致更多的人失業。

根據澳大利亞統計局的數據,澳大利亞6月就業人數變化為-40.9萬,低於此前的紀錄88.4萬,遠低於市場預測的2.5萬。失業率從上次的3.5%下降到3.4%。勞動參與率下降到66.4%,前值是66.8%。australia employment data

這標誌著澳大利亞的就業率在過去九個月里首次下降。澳大利亞的全職就業減少了8.69萬至940.94萬,而兼職就業增加了4.6萬至414.9萬。

來自澳大利亞就業變化的悲觀報告給了空頭更多的理由在市場上的所有交叉貨幣中攻擊澳元,尤其是澳元/美元。

因此,我們看到澳元兌美元從0.6948美元跌至新低0.6917美元。

澳元兌紐元從1.1060美元跌至1.1041美元的新低。

澳元兌瑞郎從0.6602美元跌至0.6582美元的新低

澳元兌加元從0.8972美元跌至0.8936美元的新低。

在今天的亞市交易中,在經歷了最初的下跌之後,多頭似乎再次推動了貨幣對的上漲。不過可能是短暫的,因為對台灣的擔憂加劇繼續令投資者望而卻步。

澳大利亞經季節調整的工資價格指數在2022年第二季度較上年同期上升了2.6%,高於第一季度2.4%的紀錄,也大致低於2.7%的市場預期。這是自2014年第三季度以來的最高水平。季節性調整後的工資持續上漲的事實表明,更多人可能會在本季度失去他們的工作。

這將導致澳元在通脹上升的長期情況下進一步下跌。這意味著我們可以預期澳元美元以及與澳元的其他交叉盤在長期內會有更多的下行走勢。

什麼是澳大利亞就業變化報告

澳大利亞就業變化報告是衡量該國就業人數變化的重要經濟數據。這包括全職和兼職工人。這裡的受僱人員是一個寬泛的術語,涵蓋所有從僱員那裡每月領取工資的工人,無論是政府部門還是私營部門。

就業變化報告是重要的經濟報告,對國家的貨幣產生重大影響。因此,就業變化的增加表明經濟健康,並吸引更多的投資者投資經濟。這將意味著人民幣的看漲趨勢。與此同時,就業變化的減少表明勞動力市場表現不佳,表明經濟不健康。這將嚇到投資者,導致拋售貨幣。

澳大利亞的就業變化和失業率有什麼不同?

事實上,澳大利亞的就業變化和失業率數據是同時發布的,這需要我們更清楚地了解這兩個數據之間的差異。

就業變動是指在一定時期內就業的人數,而失業率是指在一定時期內失業的人數。把這兩個數據放在一起,有助於分析當月勞動力市場的狀況。

失業率數據通常由失業人數除以民間勞動力總數得出。失業率的高增長往往表明澳大利亞勞動力市場缺乏擴張。

就業變化報告對澳元,尤其是澳元/美元有什麼影響?

澳大利亞就業變化報告的糟糕數據對澳元來說不是一個好跡象。隨著台灣緊張局勢加劇,這成為投資者分散投資的另一個堅實理由。

這一悲觀報告的影響是,它將削弱澳元相對於市場上與之匹配的其他貨幣對。這意味著我們可以預期澳元交叉盤,如澳元/美元、澳元/日元、澳元/加元和澳元/紐元在未來幾週會有更多下行趨勢。

看跌者可能會從澳元兌美元中獲益更多,尤其是在美元指數目前看漲的情況下。這將導致該貨幣對在9月下一次美聯儲會議之前進一步下行。

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