差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳幣兌美元聚焦澳洲經濟成長數據

週三,澳幣兌美元匯率聚焦於澳洲GDP成長數據。

AUDUSD – Daily Chart

澳元美元-日圖

澳幣兌美元匯率在0.6693找到阻力位,收在0.6650。修正可能會在這個水平形成,以0.6600作為第一個目標。

週三香港時間上午9:30,澳洲公佈最新GDP成長數據。分析師預計,經濟的年增率將從1.9%降至1.2%。

分析家目前擔心澳洲經濟會陷入衰退。根據澳洲統計局,今年第三季度,零售商的總營業利潤下降了2.5%。建築、運輸和零售貿易業的獲利也在逆轉。大宗商品價格走弱也影響了礦業利潤,該季礦業利潤下降6.1%。住宿、餐飲服務和旅館業的利潤僅增加了1%。

這些數據將出現在3月當季的GDP數據中,並於週三公佈,可以證明經濟表現低於分析師的預期。

週二公佈數據後,畢馬威首席經濟學家Brendan Rynne表示,3月當季GDP數據將顯示,經濟「離衰退只有一步之遙」。

他說:“與2023年第四季度的數據相結合,表明過去6個月國內經濟幾乎沒有增長。”

“不過,由於通膨仍很棘手,而且要達到目標區間的’最後一公里’要艱難得多,畢馬威預計澳洲央行至少還會再觀望一個季度,”他補充道。較弱的GDP數據可能導致澳幣兌美元從當前阻力位回檔。

美國供應管理學會服務業數據將於香港時間晚上10點發布,在本週早些時候公佈的ISM製造業數據放緩後,這可能是必要的。

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