差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美国科技股保持强劲,但利率迫在眉睫

美国纳斯达克 100 指数的股票交易价格接近 2024 年的高点,但更高的利率带来谨慎。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

NAS 100 – 日线图

周四,在债券价格小幅下跌后,纳斯达克 100 指数交易价格为 21,818。历史高点近在咫尺,支撑位已在 20,781 处测试一次。

周四,科技股小幅下跌,因为美国债券收益率达到六个月高点。市场反弹的部分原因是美联储迅速降息的预期,但上周的 FOMC 利率决定抑制了这种预期。

美联储只发出了 2025 年两次降息的信号,但交易员可能对经济结果不太确定。对唐纳德特朗普新政府放松管制的预期也可能是交易员忽视美联储更新的原因。市场预计 1 月 28 日至 29 日 FOMC 会议上降息 25 个基点的可能性为 9%。

美国股市受到亚洲股市的提振,中国股市收盘小幅走高,原因是市场猜测中国可能在 2025 年发行创纪录的 3 万亿元人民币(4110 亿美元)特别国债以支持经济。特朗普的关税威胁可能会确保中国人民银行采取某种形式的行动。

未来一年将依赖于人工智能的反弹,大型科技公司是否能继续向 Nvidia 等公司的图形芯片投入数十亿美元还有待观察。

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【20251205 行情回顾】 美国上周初请失业金人数创逾三年新低,缓解劳动力市场恶化担忧。美国股市周四收盘接近持平,投资者权衡了劳动力市场报告和其他经济数据,同时美联储下周降息的希望升温也为股市提供了支撑。道指收跌0.07%,标普500指数涨0.1%,纳斯达克综合指数涨0.2%。美元指数小幅回升,

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日本债券销售稳健,美元兑日元汇率下跌

美元兑日元汇率走低,此前市场对日本国债拍卖的强烈竞价缓和了市场情绪。 美元兑日元-日线图 美元兑日元2025年的高点在略高于159.00水平。修正目标将是151.00。 日本10年期国债的稳定拍卖平息了近期的恐慌,日本政府债券市场趋于稳定。投标成交比接近3.6,为去年9月以来的最高水平,与市场预售水

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中国股市有望测试关键阻力位

中国股市在11月份制造业活动放缓至三年低点后,从连续两天的抛售中恢复过来。 中国50日线图 中国50指数在下行趋势线上从10月份的高点有阻力。失败的目标可能是14760,但突破下行趋势线将返回到看涨的设置。 本周公布的一项民间调查显示,中国制造业再度陷入收缩,突显出国内需求持续疲软。标普全球编制的R

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